Choosing and Checking a Model

Turn failure probabilities into inspection decisions

A journey through when should a probability become an action? with Botie.

Choosing and Checking a Model · A journey with Botie

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Botie's notebook

Separating Statistical Evidence From a Decision

Part 1 of 2

Prediction systems have long needed a second step between estimating an outcome and choosing an action. The same estimated risk can justify different actions when their consequences differ.

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